The statement released on May 1st, 2023, indicates that the expected rainfall during the first half of May will be more significant than usual.
However, for the second half of the month, precipitation should return to the seasonal norms typical of the summer period in July.
The rise in precipitation is attributed to a slight increase in temperatures in the Pacific and Indian Oceans for the month of May, combined with winds circulating from the northern hemisphere.
The northwestern regions of Rwanda, as well as a small part of the Nyamasheke district, are expected to be the hardest hit, with precipitation expected to reach between 175 and 200 millimeters.
In the Western and Northern provinces, except for the Gicumbi region and the southern regions of Rulindo and Gakenke, rainfall of 150 to 175 millimeters is expected. In Gicumbi, Rulindo, and Gakenke districts, precipitation is expected to be slightly lower, with levels between 100 and 150 millimeters.
The regions least affected by heavy rains will be the north and part of the Nyagatare district, as well as the southern regions of Kirehe, Ngoma, and Bugesera, where precipitation is expected to range from 50 to 75 millimeters.
For the rest of the country, estimates are set between 75 and 150 millimeters.
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