{"id":40378,"date":"2025-12-11T13:31:18","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T13:31:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/L-illusion-d-une-reconquete-et-la-tragedie-des-alliances-funestes-40378\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T13:29:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T13:29:30","slug":"L-illusion-d-une-reconquete-et-la-tragedie-des-alliances-funestes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/L-illusion-d-une-reconquete-et-la-tragedie-des-alliances-funestes\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019illusion d\u2019une reconqu\u00eate et la trag\u00e9die des alliances funestes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cette effervescence guerri\u00e8re, nourrie par des r\u00e9unions secr\u00e8tes, des budgets occultes et des alliances incandescentes, r\u00e9v\u00e8le en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 un aveuglement structurel, sympt\u00f4me r\u00e9current d\u2019un pouvoir qui s\u2019obstine \u00e0 confondre d\u00e9monstration de force et lucidit\u00e9 politique.<\/p>\n<p>Car les forces appel\u00e9es \u00e0 jouer son va-tout FARDC, FDLR, Wazalendo, FDNB et mercenaires divers composent une coalition h\u00e9t\u00e9roclite et dissonante, dont l\u2019unique coh\u00e9sion r\u00e9side dans l\u2019adversit\u00e9 imm\u00e9diate, et non dans un projet militaire coh\u00e9rent. <\/p>\n<p>En faisant de ces alliances contre nature le pivot d\u2019une pr\u00e9tendue reconqu\u00eate, Kinshasa s\u2019expose moins \u00e0 une victoire d\u00e9cisive qu\u2019\u00e0 la r\u00e9p\u00e9tition m\u00e9canique d\u2019une trag\u00e9die d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9crite : celle o\u00f9 l\u2019improvisation op\u00e9rationnelle, maquill\u00e9e en bravoure patriotique, se heurte fatalement \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du terrain.<\/p>\n<p>{{Les le\u00e7ons que le pouvoir refuse d\u2019apprendre}}<\/p>\n<p>Il est pour le moins \u00e9difiant que le pouvoir de Kinshasa semble avoir oubli\u00e9 les formules p\u00e9remptoires, lanc\u00e9es nagu\u00e8re avec un aplomb th\u00e9\u00e2tral, \u00ab la riposte sera foudroyante et disproportionn\u00e9e \u00bb et dont l\u2019histoire r\u00e9cente a d\u00e9montr\u00e9 le caract\u00e8re incantatoire, sinon d\u00e9risoire. <\/p>\n<p>Le rappel, aujourd\u2019hui, des avertissements du tr\u00e8s influent conseiller sp\u00e9cial Honor\u00e9 Ngbanda rend le parall\u00e8le d\u2019autant plus saisissant : celui-ci reprochait \u00e0 Mobutu sa c\u00e9cit\u00e9 politique, son incapacit\u00e9 \u00e0 \u00ab lire les signes du temps \u00bb et son obstination \u00e0 gouverner contre les \u00e9vidences, jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9cipiter l\u2019effondrement de son propre r\u00e9gime.<\/p>\n<p>Or voici que les m\u00eames causes semblent inexorablement produire les m\u00eames effets : la surench\u00e8re verbale tient lieu de vision strat\u00e9gique ; l\u2019ent\u00eatement tient lieu de gouvernance ; et la fuite en avant militaire dissimule mal l\u2019effritement d\u2019une l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 dont les fondations vacillent. <\/p>\n<p>La reconqu\u00eate annonc\u00e9e d\u2019Uvira appara\u00eet d\u00e8s lors comme une r\u00e9p\u00e9tition g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du pass\u00e9, o\u00f9 l\u2019histoire, lass\u00e9e d\u2019\u00eatre ignor\u00e9e, revient frapper \u00e0 la porte du pr\u00e9sent avec la rigueur implacable d\u2019un verdict.<\/p>\n<p>Ainsi s\u2019impose une v\u00e9rit\u00e9 que nul artifice oratoire ne saurait occulter : aucune arm\u00e9e, f\u00fbt-elle bard\u00e9e d\u2019alli\u00e9s de circonstance et gonfl\u00e9e d\u2019une tr\u00e9sorerie dilapid\u00e9e, ne triomphe durablement lorsqu\u2019elle refuse de regarder en face les le\u00e7ons que lui dicte sa propre\u00a0histoire.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"spip-document spip-document-69759 aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fr.igihe.com\/IMG\/jpg\/ek-5.jpg\" alt=\"Kinshasa semble croire qu\u2019Uvira peut \u00eatre reconquise en mobilisant d\u2019\u00e9normes moyens et une planification depuis Bujumbura, plus par pari que par strat\u00e9gie\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A en juger par l\u2019agitation f\u00e9brile qui anime d\u00e9sormais les c\u00e9nacles du pouvoir, Kinshasa semble s\u2019\u00eatre convaincu que la reconqu\u00eate d\u2019Uvira serait \u00e0 port\u00e9e de main, pourvu que l\u2019on mobilise des moyens colossaux et que l\u2019on orchestre, depuis Bujumbura, une planification dont l\u2019ampleur financi\u00e8re tient davantage du pari d\u00e9sesp\u00e9r\u00e9 que de la strat\u00e9gie ma\u00eetris\u00e9e.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":488,"featured_media":4000069758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7540],"tags":[7605],"byline":[9102],"hashtag":[],"class_list":["post-40378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-securite","tag-homenews","byline-tite-gatabazi"],"bylines":[{"id":9102,"name":"Tite Gatabazi","slug":"tite-gatabazi","description":"","image":{"id":0,"url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&f=y&r=g","alt":"Default avatar","title":"Default avatar","caption":"","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","sizes":[]},"user_id":472}],"contributors":[{"id":9102,"name":"Tite Gatabazi","slug":"tite-gatabazi","description":"","image":{"id":0,"url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&f=y&r=g","alt":"Default avatar","title":"Default avatar","caption":"","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","sizes":[]},"user_id":472}],"featured_image":{"id":4000069758,"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","alt":"","caption":"","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","width":0,"height":0,"sizes":{"thumbnail":{"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","width":1,"height":1},"medium":{"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","width":1,"height":1},"medium_large":{"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","width":1,"height":1},"large":{"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","width":1,"height":1},"full":{"url":"https:\/\/fr-images.igihe.com\/IMG\/logo\/ek_cp-5.jpg","width":0,"height":0}}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/488"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40378\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4000069758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40378"},{"taxonomy":"byline","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/byline?post=40378"},{"taxonomy":"hashtag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/french\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hashtag?post=40378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}