{"id":2000108618,"date":"2026-04-14T10:21:35","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:21:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/?p=2000108618"},"modified":"2026-04-14T10:21:37","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:21:37","slug":"u-s-blockade-of-hormuz-a-risky-gamble-with-global-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/u-s-blockade-of-hormuz-a-risky-gamble-with-global-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. blockade of Hormuz: A risky gamble with global consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Experts say that, given the complexity of the strait and the potential blowback to U.S. own interests, a full blockade may be difficult to sustain. Nevertheless, this &#8220;reckless move&#8221; could further disrupt the global economy and heighten the risk of renewed regional conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>&#8220;Reckless move&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After U.S. President Donald Trump threatened on Sunday to block ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Central Command said that U.S. forces will begin implementing a blockade of &#8220;all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports&#8221; on Monday at 10 a.m. Eastern Time (1400 GMT).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In accordance with Trump&#8217;s proclamation, the blockade will be enforced &#8220;impartially&#8221; against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including &#8220;all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman,&#8221; according to the statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Monday afternoon, the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz came into effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a press conference following the blockade, Trump warned that the U.S. military will &#8220;eliminate&#8221; any Iranian ship if it comes close to the U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"594\" src=\"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260414992ba0a3a498463c8dd797ef7c6e93a8_CcrbeeE000029_20260414_CBMFN0A002.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2000108621\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">U.S. President Donald Trump (R) walks toward Marine One at the White House in Washington, D.C., the United States, on April 10, 2026. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The blockade adds yet another hurdle to a globally vital shipping route already battered by the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz &#8220;is not just a geopolitical escalation but a reckless move that risks choking the global economy, with American consumers bearing the brunt,&#8221; Iranian semi-official Tasnim news agency opined on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unsustainable blockade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the United States seeks to pressure Iran by blocking the strait to secure concessions on issues such as the reopening of Hormuz, experts say that a full blockade is unlikely to be either feasible or sustainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The United States is likely to rely on enhancing its naval presence, intensifying monitoring and inspection operations, and possibly imposing &#8220;selective restrictions&#8221; on the movement of certain vessels, said Abdulaziz Alshaabani, a Saudi researcher at Al Riyadh Center for Political and Strategic Studies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;However, it is unlikely that the naval blockade would be complete or absolutely effective, given the complexities of maritime routes and the entanglement of international interests,&#8221; Alshaabani added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mohammed Al-Jubouri, a professor at al-Iraqia University in Baghdad, echoes Alshaabani&#8217;s assessment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Iran does not need to engage the U.S. fleet directly to undermine the blockade,&#8221; Al-Jubouri said. &#8220;It suffices for Tehran to employ tactics involving fast-attack craft, naval mines, coastal missile batteries, or even proxy attacks in other parts of the region. Such tools are capable of transforming any blockade into a prolonged war of attrition.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260414992ba0a3a498463c8dd797ef7c6e93a8_CcrbeeE000029_20260414_CBMFN0A003.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2000108620\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A demonstrator holds placards in front of the White House in Washington, D.C., the United States, on April 7, 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Abu Bakr al-Deeb, an advisor at the Cairo-based Arab Center for Research and Studies, argues that a complete blockade could end up shooting the United States in the foot, ultimately working against its own interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The United States can impose temporary or partial control, but it would face immense difficulty in transforming that control into a stable, long-term blockade without incurring significant political and economic costs,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Far-reaching impact<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if a long-term blockade may be beyond Washington&#8217;s reach, the move is sure to send additional shockwaves through a global energy market already roiled by ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and could further jeopardize the fragile ceasefire between the United States, Israel and Iran, raising the risk of renewed conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A blockade of a strait as vital as Hormuz cannot remain a &#8220;purely American affair&#8221; in terms of its impact, al-Deeb said, adding, &#8220;The global economy &#8212; particularly Asia and Europe &#8212; would suffer immediate and direct harm.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the outbreak of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict on Feb. 28, Brent Crude oil prices have already soared, reaching highs of over 120 U.S. dollars per barrel by early April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil could rise to 150 dollars a barrel under a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Jorge Montepeque, managing director at Britain-based Onyx Capital Group, told Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260414992ba0a3a498463c8dd797ef7c6e93a8_CcrbeeE000029_20260414_CBMFN0A004.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2000108619\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Gas prices are displayed at a petrol station in London, Britain, March 26, 2026. The strikes launched by the United States and Israel against Iran have triggered a sharp spike in global oil prices.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. blockade is also believed to raise the risk of hostilities reigniting between Washington and Tehran, potentially undermining the ceasefire that was just agreed upon last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The U.S. insistence and lack of flexibility regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz &#8230; reveals Washington&#8217;s intention to use these issues as a pretext for launching further strikes and attacks,&#8221; said Al-Jubouri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran&#8217;s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) has vowed to use new military capabilities if the war with the United States and Israel continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We have not yet used our capabilities, and if the war continues, we will unveil capabilities that the enemy has no idea about,&#8221; IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi said after the U.S. blockade took effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260414992ba0a3a498463c8dd797ef7c6e93a8_CcrbeeE000029_20260414_CBMFN0A001.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2000108622\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Iranian soldiers patrol the Strait of Hormuz in southern Iran, April 30, 2019. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After negotiations with Iran failed to yield any agreement, the United States took drastic measures on Monday by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial artery for the global energy market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":131,"featured_media":2000108622,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[151,101],"byline":[235],"hashtag":[],"class_list":["post-2000108618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics-48","tag-editors-choice","tag-internationl","byline-xinhua"],"bylines":[{"id":235,"name":"Xinhua","slug":"xinhua","description":"","image":{"id":0,"url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&f=y&r=g","alt":"Default avatar","title":"Default avatar","caption":"","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","sizes":[]},"user_id":80}],"contributors":[{"id":235,"name":"Xinhua","slug":"xinhua","description":"","image":{"id":0,"url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&f=y&r=g","alt":"Default avatar","title":"Default avatar","caption":"","mime_type":"image\/jpeg","sizes":[]},"user_id":80}],"featured_image":{"id":2000108622,"url":"https:\/\/new.igihe.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260414992ba0a3a498463c8dd797ef7c6e93a8_CcrbeeE000029_20260414_CBMFN0A001.jpeg","alt":"","caption":"Iranian soldiers patrol the Strait of Hormuz in southern Iran, April 30, 2019. 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